Monday, December 21, 2009

Home prices to drop another 10-12%, Deutche Bank

Deutche Bank researchers say home prices will drop another 10 to 12 percent from current levels. The securitization arm of the investment bank represent that these projections are the first forecast expanded to include more factors that impact home prices overall as well as including peak-to-trough and peak-to-peak, according to www.housingwire.com.

"Government bailouts lack the potency to counter larger issues of unemployment, tight credit and the rising negative…In the worst of it, with another projected 29% percent decline in home prices (is) projected," DB estimates."


The government is trying to spend (& tax) their way out of this. Good luck.

Monday, December 07, 2009

Surfing Huge Waves in Hawaii

My family told me that Jaws on Maui was really pumping today.

You will be absolutely awestruck by this amazing clip of a a kamikaze surfer on a 65-foot wave at Jaws in 2002. Wow!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OB5c39PZFQ4

Jim Rohn - The Passing of a Legend

I've lost another of my mentors, Jim Rohn. Mr. Rohn was considered America's Foremost Business Philosopher and was one of the best motivational speakers I've ever heard. I will always thank Bruce Norris for adding Jim Rohn to his first Multi-Millionaire Maker seminar back in 2005. It gave me the opportunity to personally meet and thank Mr. Rohn for all I learned from his books, tapes/cds & videos. The lessons Mr. Rohn teach are not about real estate but of life and business.

I own most of Mr. Rohn's materials and the best lesson I learned was to keep a journal: a life journal and a deal journal. I hope you learn from me that this is, in my opinion, the most powerful lesson to learn.

IRS to outline changes in the home buyer tax credit program

IRS to outline changes in the home buyer tax credit program

Revisions include expanded income limits, a cap on home prices, additional documentation requirements and prohibitions against claims by dependents.
By Kenneth R. Harney

December 6, 2009

Reporting from Washington - If you're thinking about applying for the new $6,500 home buyer federal tax credit or the extended $8,000 version, the Internal Revenue Service has just issued its first formal guidelines for you.

Tops on the agency's list of advice: Cool it for a couple of weeks. Even if you qualify for one of the credits, don't send in any requests to the IRS quite yet. Wait until later this month when the agency publishes its revised Form 5405 with the key instructions needed to get you a check from the government.

The forthcoming version of the form will incorporate the major changes to the tax credit program made by Congress in legislation signed by President Obama on Nov. 6. These include expanded income limits, a cap on home prices, additional documentation requirements and prohibitions against claims by dependents.

In a tax bulletin issued just before Thanksgiving, the IRS emphasized that all home purchasers after Nov. 6 "must use this new version [of Form 5405] to claim the credit." Put another way: If you send in the old version -- the one you can currently download from the agency's website, www.irs.gov -- your request for the credit will probably go nowhere.

The legislation -- known as the Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009 -- extended the $8,000 first-time home purchaser credit until April 30 for signed contracts and June 30 for closings. The law also created a new tax credit for people who have owned a principal residence for a consecutive five of the previous eight years, and who purchase a replacement principal residence with a signed contract no later than April 30, followed by a closing no later than June 30.

Qualified repeat buyers can obtain credits up to $6,500. For both the first-time and repeat buyer program, the credit is equal to 10% of the purchase price of the house, up to a maximum of either $6,500 or $8,000.

The new IRS bulletin also outlined the agency's guidance on other important features of the amended credit program:

* Members of the armed forces, as well as diplomatic and intelligence personnel serving in foreign countries, will get an extra year to buy a principal residence and still qualify for a credit. They will have until April 30, 2011, to enter into a contract to purchase a house, and until June 30, 2011, to close on it.

* Anyone who buys a house after Nov. 6 -- even those who had intended to get in the door before the previous Nov. 30 expiration date for the $8,000 credit -- will now need to comply with several new rules. First, the house cannot cost more than $800,000. Second, no one under age 18 can claim the credit no matter what the circumstances. And finally, anyone who is counted as a dependent on another taxpayer's federal filings is ineligible for a home purchase tax credit.

* The expanded income limits for purchasers after Nov. 6 range to $125,000 in "modified adjusted gross income" for single taxpayers and to $225,000 for those who file jointly. Singles with incomes between $125,000 and $145,000 may be eligible for reduced credit amounts, as are joint filers with incomes from $225,000 to $245,000. Anyone with an income above these amounts cannot qualify for either of the credits. Under the pre-Nov. 6 rules, taxpayers applying for the $8,000 credit were limited to incomes of $75,000 (single filer) to $150,000 (joint filer).

The IRS continues to offer detailed consumer information resources on the credits, including questions and answers on a variety of home purchase scenarios.

For example, some taxpayers seeking the extended $8,000 credit are uncertain about co-purchase and co-signing situations, especially involving parents and adult children. When a home-owning parent co-signs for a mortgage with a son or daughter, and both names appear on the note, can the son or daughter qualify for the first-time purchaser credit?

The IRS says the parent clearly does not qualify for any portion of the credit since he or she already owns a principal residence. But if the son or daughter has not owned a house during the three years preceding the current purchase, and qualifies on income, he or she can be allocated the entire $8,000 credit.

Similarly, when unmarried individuals co-purchase a house, and only one of them is eligible for the credit, the full $8,000 can be allocated to the eligible buyer.

kenharney@earthlink.net

Distributed by the Washington Post Writers Group.

Copyright © 2009, The Los Angeles Times

Friday, December 04, 2009

Chief Denney foreclosure class Saturday Dec 5th

My friend, Chief Denney, is teaching a class on investing in foreclosures tomorrow December 5th in San Diego. He is a very good teacher.

"How To Capitalize On Today's Foreclosure Market"

Wednesday, December 02, 2009

Added benefit of attending Reggie Lal's workshop


Tony Alvarez enjoys an added benefit of attending Reggie's Lal's workshop November 21st.

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Tony Alvarez analyzes WSJ article on new Fannie Mae foreclosure program

Fannie Mae Looks to Level Foreclosed-Home Playing Field

(See Tony's comment's in red below the article)

By JAMES R. HAGERTY

Fannie Mae announced a program aimed at helping ordinary home buyers compete with investors for foreclosed homes. 

Under the program, dubbed First Look, Fannie plans to consider offers only from potential owner-occupants and certain public-housing entities during the first 15 days in which a foreclosed home is on the market. Fannie and its main rival, Freddie Mac, are government-controlled companies that buy or guarantee home mortgages. They are among the biggest owners of foreclosed homes. As of Sept. 30, Fannie said it had 72,275 single-family foreclosed homes on its books. Freddie had 41,133 as of that date.

Many investors can move faster on home purchases because they are able to pay cash and don't have to wait to qualify for a loan and get an appraisal. Investors often turn the homes into rental units or flip them to other buyers for a quick profit. People seeking to take advantage of the drop in housing prices to buy their first homes have been grousing that they often lose bidding wars to investors.

Fannie said it also would help owner-occupants acquire homes by reducing deposit requirements to as little as $500 and giving them a chance to renegotiate offers after appraisals. Such buyers also are to be allowed as many as 45 days to complete the transaction, up from the usual 30 days.for purchase of homes from Fannie.

A Freddie spokesman said that company has similar pilot programs and is helping owner-occupants pay closing costs.

Fannie's supply of foreclosed homes is likely to keep growing. It also announced Tuesday that 4.72% of the single-family home loans it owns or guarantees were 90 days or more overdue in September, up from 4.45% in August and 1.72% in September 2008.
Write to James R. Hagerty at bob.hagerty@wsj.com 

Tony's Comment's:

Lies, lies, lies!  It's all good news!

Don't let your brain become the enemy. At first glance you might think that they're picking on investors again. But nothing is further from the truth. If you remember that all decisions that the government make are politically motivated you will understand the goal they are trying to reach more clearly and if you can do this you'll be better equipped to position yourself to take advantage of what they really mean by their actions. The 15 day "First Look" Program has actually been in test mode since August 2009.  And what has this accomplished?  New buyers competing with each other like mad dogs to pay higher prices for inferior inventory, of which, most sales have fallen apart within 15 days of an opened Escrow.

The best part about these new idiotic decisions is further proof that as the government and banking get more desperate, financing is getting easier.

Investors might look at these new changes and think 'uh oh' they're picking on us again. But that's the big lie. Don't stop and hesitate what you are doing for one second. If you do then you drop the ball. This is not the moment to run scared and throw our hands in the air thinking that our potential for doing business in this market has been taken away. It has not.

Here's what I want you to pay attention to most - the Federal Government and Lending Industry will always remove restrictions on financing for the first time or typical home buyer before they do anything for investors. Because that is what is politically correct in this present political climate. Bernanke is a puppet just like all Fed Chairmen have been since the inception of the Fed on Jackal Island. Our president, though highly educated, knows less about the financial market than my ten year old grandson. And that's why he has begun to shut his mouth with respect to financial matters. If you think that any of the decisions coming out of Washington, D.C. have any other agenda besides a political one, you are highly mistaken. As I have been telling you time and time again, the closer we get to any political election the more generous the government (and government agencies, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the rest of lending industry) will become with respect to their lending policies across the board. Whatever perks you see awarded to home buyers will soon be followed by similar perks for investors. They have no other choice. The reason for this is GREED, it is in their best interest to do so.

Whoop-tee-doo. They got us on the ropes now.  What are we to do?  Stay focused on your target market, keep watching all your market stats and stay friendly with all the REO brokers and other crucial business people in your target market.  Patience is the name of the game.

Tony Alvarez

Keep checking in with www.THEREOMENTOR.com for updates.
Sincerely,
The REO Mentor
Tony Alvarez

Tony Alvarez interviews REO broker

My bud, Tony Alvarez, interviews one of his REO brokers about current & upcoming changes in TODAY'S REO market.

Here are the link to the interviews: